{"id":4050,"date":"2022-06-20T16:33:56","date_gmt":"2022-06-20T16:33:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oceanpanel.org\/?post_type=perspective&#038;p=4050"},"modified":"2022-06-29T16:44:03","modified_gmt":"2022-06-29T16:44:03","slug":"bruce-prideaux-resilience-building-resilient-destinations","status":"publish","type":"perspective","link":"https:\/\/oceanpanel.org\/zh\/perspective\/bruce-prideaux-resilience-building-resilient-destinations\/","title":{"rendered":"Bruce Prideaux \u2014 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name=\"_ednref1\">[1]<\/a>.\u672c\u6587\u7b80\u8981\u8003\u8651\u4e86\u51b3\u5b9a\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u590d\u539f\u529b\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u6982\u8ff0\u4e86\u6cbf\u6d77\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u5e76\u8003\u8651\u4e86\u4e94\u79cd\u5173\u952e\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u5173\u8054\u7684\u6218\u7565\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u6cbf\u6d77\u548c\u6d77\u6d0b\u65c5\u6e38\u4e1a\u548c\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u793e\u533a\u5efa\u7acb\u590d\u539f\u529b\u5e76\u6210\u529f\u5e94\u5bf9\u5305\u62ec\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u8fc7\u6e21\u5230\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5728\u5185\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u51b2\u51fb\u51c0\u96f6\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53 (GHG) \u6392\u653e\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5bf9\u6cbf\u6d77\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u7684\u5a01\u80c1<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e13\u95e8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a (IPCC) 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href=\"#_edn3\" name=\"_ednref3\">[3]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5f39\u529b<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u65c5\u6e38\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c <em>\u5f39\u529b<\/em> \u662f\u65c5\u6e38\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u201c\u8fdb\u5316\u80fd\u529b\u201d <em>\u5e72\u6270<\/em> \uff08\u6216\u6270\u52a8\uff09\u548c <em>\u6539\u7ec4<\/em> \u5728\u7ecf\u5386\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u540c\u65f6\u2026\u2026\u4fdd\u6301\u5176\u57fa\u672c\u529f\u80fd\u3001\u7ed3\u6784\u3001\u8eab\u4efd\u548c\u53cd\u9988[\u7cfb\u7edf]&#039;<a href=\"#_edn4\" name=\"_ednref4\">[4]<\/a>.\u5e72\u6270\u5305\u62ec\u5404\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u5df2\u77e5\u81ea\u7136\u5e72\u6270\uff08\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3001\u98ce\u66b4\u3001\u706b\u5c71\u7206\u53d1\u3001\u5730\u9707\u7b49\uff09\u3001\u5df2\u77e5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e72\u6270\uff08\u8fc7\u6e21\u5230\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u51c0\u96f6\u6392\u653e\uff09\u548c\u672a\u77e5\u5a01\u80c1\uff08\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u3001\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u3001\u6218\u4e89\u7b49\uff09\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u3001\u4e2d\u671f\u6216\u957f\u671f\u5185\u53d1\u751f\u3002 <em>\u91cd\u7ec4<\/em> 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<em>\u8fdb\u5316\u5f39\u6027<\/em> 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<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\u5c1a\u65e0\u6cd5\u4f30\u8ba1\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u6e29\u5c06\u5728\u4ec0\u4e48\u6c34\u5e73\u6216\u4f55\u65f6\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u5c06\u5728\u4ec0\u4e48\u65f6\u5019\u548c\u4ec0\u4e48\u9ad8\u5ea6\u505c\u6b62\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5f39\u6027\u6218\u7565\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u5236\u5b9a\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u957f\u671f\u9002\u5e94\u6218\u7565\u8981\u56f0\u96be\u5f97\u591a\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u5411\u51c0\u96f6\u8fc7\u6e21\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f71\u54cd\u672a\u77e5\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ece\u77ed\u671f\u3001\u4e2d\u671f\u548c\u957f\u671f\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u6cbf\u6d77\u5730\u533a\u5b9a\u5c45\u70b9\u7684\u590d\u539f\u529b\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u591a\u79cd\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u907f\u514d\u5347\u6e29\u8d85\u8fc7 1.5\u00b0C\uff08\u8fc7\u6e21\uff09\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u6210\u529f\u3001\u56fd\u5bb6\u9002\u5e94\u6218\u7565\u4ee5\u53ca\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u7ea7\u793e\u533a\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u9884\u671f\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5c06\u904d\u53ca\u6574\u4e2a\u76ee\u7684\u5730\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u793e\u533a\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6bd4\u5355\u4e2a\u90e8\u95e8\uff08\u5982\u65c5\u6e38\u4e1a\uff09\u7684\u4e0d\u534f\u8c03\u53cd\u5e94\u66f4\u6709\u6548\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5173\u952e\u7b56\u7565\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u5efa\u7acb\u65c5\u6e38\u4e1a\u5f39\u6027\u5e76\u964d\u4f4e\u5176\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u7684\u6218\u7565\u5c06\u52a0\u5f3a\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u793e\u533a\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u5f39\u6027\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6cbf\u6d77\u548c\u6d77\u6d0b\u65c5\u6e38\uff0c\u8be5\u90e8\u95e8\u5fc5\u987b\u9996\u5148\u6839\u636e\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u786e\u5b9a\u5b83\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u53d7\u5230\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u591a\u4e2a\u65f6\u95f4\u5c3a\u5ea6\u5185\u5411\u51c0\u96f6\u8fc7\u6e21\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u5bf9\u957f\u671f\u5185\u5bf9\u6e38\u5ba2\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u54cd\u8fdb\u884c\u771f\u5b9e\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6210\u672c\u4ee5\u53ca\u77ed\u671f\u3001\u4e2d\u671f\u548c\u957f\u671f\u6062\u590d\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u6210\u672c\u8fdb\u884c\u8be6\u7ec6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002\u7b2c\u56db\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u5f00\u53d1\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u6548\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u7ba1\u7406\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u8be5\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e0e\u4e00\u4e2a\u80fd\u591f\u534f\u8c03\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u590d\u539f\u529b\u5efa\u8bbe\u7684\u6cbb\u7406\u7cfb\u7edf\u5e76\u884c\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u7b2c\u4e94\uff0c\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u5236\u5b9a\u4e00\u4e2a\u89c4\u5212\u548c\u5b9e\u65bd\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u5c06\u524d\u9762\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u7ed3\u5408\u8d77\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n<p><em>\u786e\u5b9a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/em><\/p>\n<p>IPCC \u62a5\u544a\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u786e\u5b9a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u91d1\u77ff\u3002\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u5bf9\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u8fdb\u884c\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u8c03\u67e5\u3002\u5728\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c42\u9762\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u989d\u5916\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u7d27\u6025\u4e8b\u52a1\u7ba1\u7406\u7f72\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728\u7ebf\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u7136\u707e\u5bb3\u98ce\u9669\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u786e\u5b9a\u4e86 18 \u79cd\u81ea\u7136\u707e\u5bb3\u7684\u793e\u533a\u98ce\u9669\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5e74\u5ea6\u635f\u5931\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u548c\u793e\u533a\u590d\u539f\u529b\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u6307\u6807<a href=\"#_edn5\" name=\"_ednref5\">[5]<\/a>.\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u65c5\u6e38\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u4f5b\u7f57\u91cc\u8fbe\u5dde\u68d5\u6988\u6ee9\u53bf\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u6307\u6570\u4e3a 57.71\uff0c\u800c\u4f5b\u7f57\u91cc\u8fbe\u5dde\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u98ce\u9669\u6307\u6570\u4e3a 19.65\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3a 10.60\u3002\u5728\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u514d\u8d39\u7684\u3001\u53ef\u4e0b\u8f7d\u7684\u4ea4\u4e92\u5f0f\u6c14\u5019\u98ce\u9669\u5730\u56fe\uff0c\u5141\u8bb8\u7528\u6237\u8bc4\u4f30\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u548c\u591a\u79cd\u4e8b\u4ef6\u60c5\u666f\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6cbf\u6d77\u6d2a\u6c34\u3001\u6d2a\u6c34\u3001\u4e1b\u6797\u5927\u706b\u548c\u6781\u7aef\u5927\u98ce\uff0c\u76f4\u81f3\u90ca\u533a<a href=\"#_edn6\" name=\"_ednref6\">[6]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u6e38\u5ba2\u9700\u6c42\u8bc4\u4f30<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\uff0c\u73ca\u745a\u7901\u7b49\u8bb8\u591a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6cbf\u6d77\u65c5\u6e38\u8d44\u6e90\u5c06\u8fc5\u901f\u51cf\u5c11\u3002\u65c5\u6e38\u90e8\u95e8\u5fc5\u987b\u786e\u5b9a\u6e38\u5ba2\u5982\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u8bc6\u522b\u548c\u5f00\u53d1\u76ee\u524d\u672a\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u65c5\u6e38\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u8bc6\u522b\u548c\u5efa\u7acb\u65b0\u7684\u6e38\u5ba2\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u65c5\u6e38\u6c14\u5019\u6307\u6570\u7b49\u5de5\u5177\u53ef\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u6e38\u5ba2\u5bf9\u6c14\u6e29\u5347\u9ad8\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u6218\u7565\u5236\u5b9a\u548c\u6570\u636e\u6536\u96c6\u6846\u67b6\u53ef\u4ee5\u534f\u52a9\u5b8c\u6210\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4efb\u52a1<a href=\"#_edn7\" name=\"_ednref7\">[7]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bc4\u4f30<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u4e86\u89e3\u6cbf\u6d77\u65c5\u6e38\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u3001\u6cbf\u6d77\u65c5\u6e38\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u6536\u5165\u4ee5\u53ca\u4fdd\u536b\u3001\u653e\u5f03\u6216\u642c\u8fc1\u7684\u6210\u672c\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u6b64\u7c7b\u4fe1\u606f\u5c06\u5e2e\u52a9\u65c5\u6e38\u4f01\u4e1a\u5c31\u65b0\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u3001\u642c\u8fc1\u6216\u64a4\u8d44\u505a\u51fa\u660e\u667a\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u3002\u5730\u65b9\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u7ea7\u522b\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4fe1\u606f\u6765\u8bc4\u4f30\u5f00\u53d1\u7533\u8bf7\u548c\u89c4\u5212\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u6295\u8d44\u3002\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5de5\u5177\u5305\u62ec\u6210\u672c\u60c5\u666f\u3001\u53ef\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u4e00\u822c\u5747\u8861\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u6210\u672c\u6548\u76ca\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/p>\n<p><em>\u77e5\u8bc6\u7ba1\u7406<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5c06\u5f71\u54cd\u6574\u4e2a\u76ee\u7684\u5730\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u65c5\u6e38\u4e1a\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u9700\u8981\u6574\u4e2a\u793e\u533a\u7684\u54cd\u5e94\u6765\u5efa\u7acb\u65c5\u6e38\u4e1a\u548c\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u7684\u957f\u671f\u590d\u539f\u529b\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u6709\u6548\uff0c\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u9700\u8981\u57fa\u4e8e\u6240\u6709\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u5171\u4eab\u548c\u77e5\u8bc6\u5171\u540c\u751f\u4ea7\uff08\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u4e92\u52a8\u4ee5\u4ea7\u751f\u65b0\u77e5\u8bc6\uff09\u7684\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u77e5\u8bc6\u7ba1\u7406\u3002\u4e00\u79cd\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u662f\u91c7\u7528\u201c\u5b66\u4e60\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u201d\u65b9\u6cd5<a href=\"#_edn8\" name=\"_ednref8\">[8]<\/a> \u8fd9\u5305\u62ec\u793e\u533a\u6240\u6709\u6210\u5458\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u65c5\u6e38\u90e8\u95e8\u3001\u5546\u4e1a\u90e8\u95e8\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u5916\u90e8\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u8005\uff09\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5bc6\u5207\u5408\u4f5c\u548c\u77e5\u8bc6\u5171\u4eab\uff0c\u4ee5\u5236\u5b9a\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u6574\u4e2a\u793e\u533a\u7684\u590d\u539f\u529b\u6218\u7565\u3002\u5e94\u7528\u5b66\u4e60\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f Ningaloo\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f4d\u4e8e\u897f\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u7684\u73ca\u745a\u7901\u76ee\u7684\u5730\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f5b\u7f57\u91cc\u8fbe\u5dde\u627e\u5230 <a href=\"#_edn9\" name=\"_ednref9\">[9]<\/a><sup>,<a href=\"#_edn10\" name=\"_ednref10\">[10]<\/a><\/sup>.\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u5305\u62ec\u7cfb\u7edf\u601d\u8003\u3001\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u7ba1\u7406\u548c\u53c2\u4e0e\u5f0f\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u3001\u76d1\u6d4b\u548c\u91cd\u65b0\u8bc4\u4f30\u8fc7\u7a0b\u6765\u5b9e\u73b0\u96c6\u4f53\u590d\u539f\u529b\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u7406\u60f3\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55<a href=\"#_edn11\" name=\"_ednref11\">[11]<\/a>.\u7cfb\u7edf\u601d\u7ef4\uff0c\u88ab\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e3a\u201c\u901a\u8fc7\u770b\u5230\u201c\u5927\u5c40\u201d\u5e76\u8bc6\u522b\u7cfb\u7edf\u5404\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\u548c\u76f8\u4e92\u5173\u8054\u6027\u6765\u53d1\u5c55\u7cfb\u7edf\u610f\u8bc6\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u662f\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5143\u7d20<a href=\"#_edn12\" name=\"_ednref12\">[12]<\/a>.\u5982\u679c\u4e3b\u8981\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u8005\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u8bae\u7a0b\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u9047\u5230\u56f0\u96be\u3002<\/p>\n<p><em>\u89c4\u5212\u4e0e\u5b9e\u65bd <\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u7ec8\u6218\u7565\u9700\u8981\u5728\u5148\u524d\u6218\u7565\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u5236\u5b9a\u89c4\u5212\u548c\u5b9e\u65bd\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5bf9\u7279\u5b9a\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4ee5\u53ca\u8f6c\u578b\u5bf9\u6574\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u66f4\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f\u5b9e\u73b0\u957f\u671f\u5f39\u6027\u7684\u6700\u56f0\u96be\u7684\u65b9\u9762\u3002\u4e0e\u5a01\u5c3c\u65af\u79fb\u52a8\u5c4f\u969c\u7684\u89c4\u5212\u3001\u5efa\u8bbe\u548c\u8fd0\u8425\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u65e0\u6570\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fdd\u62a4\u57ce\u5e02\u514d\u53d7\u6d2a\u6c34\u548c\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u4e86\u8fd9\u9879\u4efb\u52a1\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u56f4\u7ed5\u667a\u6167\u57ce\u5e02\u6982\u5ff5\u7684\u601d\u8003\u4e3a\u5982\u4f55\u5904\u7406\u6b64\u7c7b\u95ee\u9898\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u89c1\u89e3<a href=\"#_edn13\" name=\"_ednref13\">[13]<\/a>.\u4ece\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u6606\u58eb\u5170\uff08\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\uff09\u65c5\u6e38\u4e1a\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d44\u52a9\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u884c\u4e1a\u9002\u5e94\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u8be5\u8ba1\u5212\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u5efa\u7acb\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u80fd\u529b\u6240\u9700\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u9002\u5e94\u5de5\u4f5c<a href=\"#_edn14\" name=\"_ednref14\">[14]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u9700\u8981\u89e3\u51b3\u7684\u5173\u952e\u95ee\u9898\u5305\u62ec\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u5229\u76ca\u548c\u6210\u672c\u7684\u516c\u5e73\u5206\u914d\u3002\u8fd9\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u8fdb\u884c\u6743\u8861\uff0c\u5e76\u5c31\u4e89\u8bae\u89e3\u51b3\u56f0\u96be\u7684\u6b21\u4f18\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u88ab\u8feb\u5feb\u901f\u54cd\u5e94\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u548c\u6cbb\u7406\u539f\u5219\u4ee5\u5efa\u7acb\u5f39\u6027\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8fd8\u5fc5\u987b\u516c\u5e73\u5730\u7ba1\u7406\u53d8\u9769\u7684\u65f6\u7a7a\u538b\u7f29\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7ed3\u8bba<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u53d1\u5c55\u5efa\u8bbe\u590d\u539f\u529b\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u5bf9\u8fd9\u79cd\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u7ec3\u4e60\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u7ecf\u9a8c\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u4e94\u70b9\u8ba1\u5212\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u8fc7\u53bb\u5f88\u5c11\u5b9e\u65bd\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u5b58\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u65c5\u6e38\u4e1a\u9700\u8981\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u5176\u4e0e\u5f53\u5730\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5176\u4ed6\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u5b58\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e0e\u6240\u6709\u4e3b\u8981\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u8005\u79ef\u6781\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u9002\u5e94\u3001\u5f00\u53d1\u66ff\u4ee3\u666f\u70b9\u5e76\u5438\u5f15\u65b0\u7684\u6e38\u5ba2\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;&#8211;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref1\" name=\"_edn1\">[1]<\/a> \u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e13\u95e8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08IPCC\uff09\uff0c <em>2022 \u5e74\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff1a\u5f71\u54cd\u3001\u9002\u5e94\u548c\u8106\u5f31\u6027\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5de5\u4f5c\u7ec4\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e13\u95e8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7b2c\u516d\u6b21\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u8d21\u732e<\/em>, \u7531 D. P\u00f6rtner \u7b49\u4eba\u7f16\u8f91\u3002 \uff08\u5251\u6865\uff1a\u5251\u6865\u5927\u5b66\u51fa\u7248\u793e\uff0c\u5373\u5c06\u51fa\u7248\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref2\" name=\"_edn2\">[2]<\/a> \u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e13\u95e8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff0c <em>\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316 2022<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref3\" name=\"_edn3\">[3]<\/a> B. Prideaux \u548c A. Pabel\uff0c\u7f16\u8f91\uff0c <em>\u73ca\u745a\u7901\uff1a\u65c5\u6e38\u3001\u4fdd\u62a4\u548c\u7ba1\u7406<\/em> \uff08\u4f26\u6566\uff1a\u52b3\u7279\u5229\u5947\uff0c2018\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref4\" name=\"_edn4\">[4]<\/a> PF Bangwayo-Skeete \u548c RW Skeete\uff0c\u201c\u6a21\u62df\u5c0f\u5c9b\u5c7f\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u65c5\u6e38\u5f39\u6027\uff1a\u4e24\u56fd\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u201d\uff0c <em>\u65c5\u6e38\u5730\u7406<\/em> 23\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u3002 3\uff082021\uff09\uff1a436-57\uff1b\u5f15\u7528 437\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref5\" name=\"_edn5\">[5]<\/a> \u8054\u90a6\u7d27\u6025\u4e8b\u52a1\u7ba1\u7406\u5c40\uff0c\u201c\u56fd\u5bb6\u98ce\u9669\u6307\u6570\u201d\uff0chttps:\/\/hazards.fema.gov\/nri\/\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref6\" name=\"_edn6\">[6]<\/a> \u6c14\u5019\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff0c\u201c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u6c14\u5019\u98ce\u9669\u5730\u56fe\u201d\uff0c2022 \u5e74 5 \u6708 2 \u65e5\uff0chttps:\/\/www.climatecouncil.org.au\/resources\/climate-risk-map\/\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref7\" name=\"_edn7\">[7]<\/a> B. Prideaux\u3001M. Thompson\u3001A. Pabel \u548c L. Cassidy\uff0c\u201c\u5728\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u5c42\u9762\u7ba1\u7406\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5371\u673a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u201d\uff0c <em>\u9152\u5e97\u4e0e\u65c5\u6e38\u7ba1\u7406\u6742\u5fd7<\/em> 49\uff082021\uff09\uff1a451-59\uff0chttps:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jhtm.2021.10.006\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref8\" name=\"_edn8\">[8]<\/a> D. Sadd\u3001A. Fyall \u548c K. Wardrop\uff0c\u201c\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6846\u67b6\uff1a\u5b66\u4e60\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u89c6\u89d2\u201d\uff0c <em>\u56fd\u9645\u65c5\u6e38\u7814\u7a76\u6742\u5fd7<\/em> 19\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u3002 3 (2017): 339\u201348\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref9\" name=\"_edn9\">[9]<\/a> K. Schianetz\u3001T. Jones\u3001L. Kavanagh\u3001PA Walker\u3001D. Lockington \u548c D. Wood\uff0c\u201c\u5b66\u4e60\u578b\u65c5\u6e38\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u7684\u5b9e\u7528\u6027\uff1a\u5b81\u683c\u9c81\u6d77\u5cb8\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\u201d\uff0c <em>\u56fd\u9645\u65c5\u6e38\u7814\u7a76\u6742\u5fd7<\/em> 11\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u3002 6 (2009<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref10\" name=\"_edn10\">[10]<\/a> D. Sadd\u3001A. Fyall \u548c K. Wardrop\uff0c\u201c\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6846\u67b6\uff1a\u5b66\u4e60\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u89c6\u89d2\u201d\uff0c <em>\u56fd\u9645\u65c5\u6e38\u7814\u7a76\u6742\u5fd7<\/em> 19\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u3002 3 (2017)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref11\" name=\"_edn11\">[11]<\/a> Schianetz \u7b49\u4eba\uff0c\u201c\u5b66\u4e60\u578b\u65c5\u6e38\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u7684\u5b9e\u7528\u6027\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref12\" name=\"_edn12\">[12]<\/a> Schianetz \u7b49\u4eba\uff0c\u201c\u5b66\u4e60\u578b\u65c5\u6e38\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u7684\u5b9e\u7528\u6027\u201d\uff0c568\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref13\" name=\"_edn13\">[13]<\/a> G. Halegoua\uff0c <em>\u667a\u6167\u57ce\u5e02<\/em> \uff08\u9a6c\u8428\u8bf8\u585e\u5dde\u5251\u6865\uff1a\u9ebb\u7701\u7406\u5de5\u5b66\u9662\u51fa\u7248\u793e\uff0c2020 \u5e74\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref14\" name=\"_edn14\">[14]<\/a> S. Becken\u3001N. Montesalvo \u548c E. Whittlesea\uff0c <em>\u5efa\u7acb\u5f39\u6027\u65c5\u6e38\u4e1a\uff1a\u6606\u58eb\u5170\u65c5\u6e38\u4e1a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5e94\u5bf9\u8ba1\u5212<\/em> \uff08\u5e03\u91cc\u65af\u73ed\uff1a\u6606\u58eb\u5170\u65c5\u6e38\u4e1a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff0c2018 \u5e74\uff09\uff0chttps:\/\/www.qld.gov.au\/__data\/assets\/pdf_file\/0036\/68697\/building-resilient-tourism-industry-qld-ccr-plan.pdf\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"featured_media":4054,"template":"","perspective_tag":[101],"perspective_category":[109],"opportunity":[119],"class_list":["post-4050","perspective","type-perspective","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","perspective_tag-expert-essay","perspective_category-resilience-ensuring-a-future-for-coastal-and-marine-tourism","opportunity-sustainable-coastal-marine-tourism"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>&quot;\u63d0\u5347\u6d77\u5cb8\u65c5\u6e38\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u97e7\u6027 - 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